Janice R. Andrews
Read Time:1 Minute, 4 Second
Recent NBC News polling reveals a tightly contested 2024 presidential race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. Key findings include:
Overall Standings
- Trump and Harris tied at 48% support among registered voters
- 10% of voters may still change their minds
Demographic Trends
- Strong gender divide: Women favor Harris (55%-41%), men back Trump (56%-40%)
- Harris leads with Black voters, younger voters, and college-educated whites
- Trump dominates among rural voters and whites without college degrees
- Independents split: 44% Harris, 40% Trump
Candidate Favorability
- Harris: 43% positive, 49% negative (decline from September)
- Trump: 43% positive, 51% negative (slight improvement)
Key Issues
- Abortion tops voter concerns (22%), favoring Harris
- Trump leads on border issues, Middle East policy, and cost of living
- Harris ahead on healthcare and perceived competence
Voter Perceptions
- 48% approve of Trump’s past presidency (higher than during his term)
- Biden’s current approval at 43%
- Voters split on which candidate represents change
Turnout Scenarios
- Higher Republican-leaning turnout gives Trump a 2-point lead
- Higher Democratic-leaning turnout puts Harris 3 points ahead
Election Impact
- 62% believe the election will significantly impact their lives
- Congressional preference tied at 47% for each party
The race remains highly competitive, with both candidates facing unique challenges in the final weeks before Election Day.
