The United States is seeing an alarming rise in COVID-19 infections as summer progresses, which is interfering with trip plans and making a lot of people sick with fever, coughing, and overall malaise. Though the common consensus is that the epidemic is finished, the virus is still evolving, with new strains appearing all the time and showing no indications of stopping. Notwithstanding the fact that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) no longer keeps track of specific infection rates, experts think that this summer wave may be among the biggest yet.
The Surge’s Present Situation
Since the start of the pandemic, COVID-19 infections have increased nationwide every summer, and this year is no exception. The amount of viral activity seen in wastewater data—which is now the most dependable way to track the virus—makes this spike very worrisome. The CDC reports that “high” or “very high” concentrations of COVID-19 are found in wastewater in almost every state, with the West now seeing the most activity. Viral levels started rising earlier in the summer and are now much higher nationwide than they were at this time last year.
This rise in viral activity coincides with a decline in COVID-19 testing, which can be attributed in part to access problems as well as pandemic weariness. Once readily accessible, free at-home tests are becoming harder to get as a result of government distribution ceasing and the fact that commercial insurance plans are no longer obligated to pay for them following the conclusion of the public health emergency in 2023.
The Function of Vaccines and Variants
Numerous variables, including well-known patterns like rising travel and intense heat forcing more people indoors, are responsible for the present spike. But three highly contagious variations are now responsible for over 70% of infections, making them a major driver. These mutations are highly transmissible, which implies that more individuals are being infected—including those who might not be aware because they are not testing—even if they have not been demonstrated to cause more severe sickness.
Hospital overcrowding has decreased from the early stages of the pandemic, and vaccinations and antivirals are still effective at reducing the virus’s worst symptoms. Nonetheless, there is rising worry that low immunization rates and insufficient testing may facilitate the spread of more harmful strains.
“This summer is unique because the variants that are out there are incredibly contagious, which is why they’re spreading so quickly,” William Schaffner, a Vanderbilt University professor of infectious diseases and preventive medicine, said. “Lots of people are getting mild infections, many more than know it because testing is way down.”
Populations That Are More Vulnerable
Due to the current variations’ high contagiousness, the virus is more likely to infect those who are already at risk of developing a serious disease, such as those over 65, those with specific underlying medical disorders, or those with impaired immune systems. The nation’s previous leading expert on infectious diseases, Anthony Fauci, stressed in a July interview with MedPage Today the need of high-risk persons treating COVID-19 seriously, even in the absence of the wider public.
“You don’t have to immobilize what you do and just cut yourself off from society,” Fauci stated. “But regardless of what the current recommendations are, when you are in a crowded, closed space and you are an 85-year-old person with chronic lung disease or a 55-year-old person who’s morbidly obese with diabetes and hypertension, then you should be wearing a mask when you’re in closed indoor spaces.”
A Rise in Hospitalizations
Hospitalizations for COVID-19 have been rising across the nation, despite the widespread belief that the pandemic is finished. It surprised Schaffner to learn that hospitalizations in his neighborhood had increased for at least the previous five weeks. “I assumed that last week was probably their peak. False. This week, they increased once again. We haven’t yet reached the pinnacle, at least here locally,” he remarked.
Even while the increase is noteworthy, most Americans are handling COVID-19 like any other respiratory infection and are just shrugging it off. This strategy has also been copied by the White House, as President Biden has continued to campaign while being infected with the virus in July. Following a few days of seclusion at home and a course of antiviral medication Paxlovid, the 81-year-old, high-risk candidate, resumed his campaign trail appearances.
Future Perspectives: Immunizations and Public Health
The most recent coronavirus vaccine, which is anticipated to be released later this autumn, is advised for all individuals six months of age and above by the CDC. Vaccination rates are still low, though. Just 22.5% of American adults as of May claimed to have received the revised 2023–2024 vaccination, which was made specifically for the XBB strain that was prevalent at the time and released last autumn.
Though it doesn’t mean that anyone is completely unprotected, the waning protection from earlier vaccinations does suggest that those who are most susceptible should exercise caution. The protection that many newly infected individuals have against the present mutant virus has been greatly weakened. Even said, a weakened immune system is still preferable to none at all, and those with strong immune systems who have received vaccinations or illnesses in the past are less likely to get serious diseases that need hospitalization or even death.
“None of us are naive to COVID, but the people where the protection wanes the most are the most frail, the immunodeficient, the people with chronic underlying illnesses,” Schaffner said.
Final Thoughts
The COVID-19 summer spike is a clear indication that the epidemic is still very much with us. Even with poor vaccination rates and highly virulent strains spreading extensively, the virus still poses a serious threat, especially to the most vulnerable people. Even if the worst consequences can be lessened by vaccinations and antivirals, the current increase emphasizes the necessity of continual watchfulness and public health initiatives to safeguard people who are vulnerable.