Janice R. Andrews
Russia is reportedly preparing to launch its experimental hypersonic missile, the Oreshnik, at Ukraine within the next few days, according to U.S. intelligence. The missile, also known as the “hazel tree,” was first deployed in combat last November and is claimed by Russian President Vladimir Putin to be nearly impossible to intercept. Putin boasts that it has destructive capabilities comparable to nuclear weapons, even when carrying conventional warheads.
This missile could have devastating effects, as it is said to be capable of destroying underground bunkers several floors deep. Despite Putin’s assertions, U.S. officials view the Oreshnik as more of an intimidation tactic rather than a game-changing weapon on the battlefield.
“The Oreshnik is a psychological weapon aimed at terrorizing Ukraine, and it will fail,” an American official told Reuters.
Putin’s Warning and Trump’s Ceasefire Demand
As tensions escalate, Putin’s threat to use the Oreshnik missile against Ukrainian government sites like Kyiv intensifies the already dangerous situation. Meanwhile, former U.S. President Donald Trump has called for an immediate ceasefire, claiming that the war should end. Trump criticized the conflict as “madness” and suggested that Ukraine should prepare for less U.S. military support if he returns to power.
“Zelensky and Ukraine would like to make a deal and stop the madness,” Trump wrote, reflecting his desire for a shift in U.S. foreign policy.
Development and Power of the Oreshnik
The Oreshnik was first used in combat on November 21, targeting Dnipro in Ukraine. This attack followed President Biden’s decision to loosen restrictions on Ukraine’s use of U.S. long-range weapons, such as the ATACMs and British Storm Shadows, which were used to strike Russian territory.
Putin claimed that the missile launch was in retaliation for Ukraine’s use of Western weapons to target Russian land. The Oreshnik is based on Russia’s RS-26 Rubezh intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM), and Russian state media claims it can reach NATO targets in Poland and Brussels in minutes.
Equipped with six warheads, each carrying six submunitions, the missile is designed to mimic a cluster of hazelnuts growing on a tree, which is likely the inspiration for its name. Despite its advanced technology, experts remain uncertain of its actual effectiveness in battle.
Escalating Conflict and Continued Western Support
The possible missile launch occurs as the war enters a critical phase. Both Russia and Ukraine are pushing to solidify their positions, knowing that the conflict may change direction depending on the outcome of the 2024 U.S. presidential election. In response, the Biden administration recently pledged $988 million in aid to Ukraine, bringing total U.S. military assistance to over $62 billion since the Russian invasion began.
The package includes much-needed counter-drone systems and HIMARS munitions. However, with Trump’s criticism of U.S. support for Ukraine, there is growing uncertainty about the future of military aid.
Global Stakes and Consequences
As the Oreshnik missile looms, the conflict’s potential to escalate grows. Russia’s advancing forces and the prospect of using such advanced weaponry could drastically alter the course of the war and impact international relations. The U.S. and NATO continue to monitor developments, underscoring their commitment to Ukraine’s defense, while preparing for a crucial moment in the ongoing conflict.
The world watches closely, as the situation in Ukraine reaches a pivotal turning point with global consequences.
