Janice R. Andrews
Weather forecasters are monitoring a developing weather system in the southwestern Caribbean Sea that shows signs of becoming the next tropical depression. The National Hurricane Center’s latest update on Thursday indicates a 50% probability of the system organizing into a tropical depression early next week, as it moves slowly north-northwestward.
The system’s future path remains uncertain, with two possible scenarios emerging: it could either move toward Central America or drift northward near the Yucatan Peninsula. If it takes the northern route, the eastern Gulf Coast might face potential impacts between November 6-11, according to AccuWeather meteorologist Grady Gilman.
Environmental conditions are becoming increasingly favorable for tropical development, explains AccuWeather’s Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva. The combination of warm ocean waters, high moisture levels, and diminishing wind shear is creating an environment conducive to storm formation.
Should this system strengthen enough to earn a name, it would be next on the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season naming list, following Patty and Rafael. While the Atlantic hurricane season officially concludes on November 30, this development serves as a reminder that late-season storms remain possible.
The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor the system’s evolution and will provide ongoing updates regarding its development and potential impacts.
