Janice R. Andrews
Intriguing shifts in support are occurring in the campaign for the Republican nominee in Ohio’s 2024 primary, according to a recent Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey. These are the most recent results:
Primary Standings: State Senator Matt Dolan is in the lead with 26%, closely followed by Secretary of State Frank LaRose at 16% and businessman Bernie Moreno at 23%. But a sizable 32% of voters are still uncertain, which heightens the tension ahead of the election on March 19.
Changing Dynamics: Dolan’s support has increased by ten points since the January survey, Moreno’s support has slightly increased by one point, and LaRose’s support has decreased by five points.
Voters’ Priorities: Supporters of various candidates have differing top issues. The economy (47%) and immigration (22%) are the two main issues that worry Dolan voters. Supporters of Moreno place more importance on immigration (40%) and the economy (37%), whilst supporters of LaRose emphasize immigration (25%) and the economy (35%).
Prospective Matchups: In fictitious Senate contests for 2024, Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown holds leads over every possible Republican rival. While a sizeable percentage of voters remain uncertain, Brown leads Dolan (37% to 34%), Moreno (39% to 34%), and LaRose (39% to 33%) by a narrow margin.
Voting as a crossover: About 8% of Trump supporters will split their ticket and back Brown, compared to only 2% of Biden supporters who will back a Republican.
Presidential Preferences: With 50% of the vote, former President Donald Trump leads the field in the 2024 presidential election; President Joe Biden is in second place with 41%. However, Trump’s support rises to 55% and Biden’s to 45% when people who are still unsure are taken into account.
Factors pertaining to third parties: Trump continues to lead with 47% of the vote, while Biden receives 38%. With 6% of the vote, Robert Kennedy Jr. is supported, but Jill Stein and Cornel West each have 1%. Just 7% of voters are still unsure.
Concerns: Fifty percent of voters express concern over former President Trump’s criminal indictments, while fifty percent of voters base their decisions on concerns about President Biden’s age.
Job Approval: In Ohio, Governor Mike DeWine has a 32% job approval rating, compared to 37% for President Biden.
Main Concerns: According to Ohio voters, the economy is still the top issue (34%), followed by immigration (13%), healthcare (11%), dangers to democracy (10%), crime (10%), access to abortion (8%), and education (8%).
1,300 registered voters participated in this extensive poll, which was carried out between March 7–10, 2024, and has a credibility interval of +/– 2.6 percentage points. The information was carefully weighed and gathered through a variety of techniques to guarantee thorough coverage.
Watch this space for more updates as Ohio’s political climate changes.
