Janice R. Andrews
The Gulf Coast is preparing for hazardous beach conditions as Hurricane Rafael, which recently devastated Cuba, moves through the Gulf of Mexico. While the storm isn’t expected to make U.S. landfall, its effects will be strongly felt along coastal areas from Texas to Florida during Veterans Day weekend.
Storm Status and Trajectory
Hurricane Rafael has intensified to a Category 3 hurricane, reaching maximum sustained winds of 120 mph on Friday. Though expected to weaken to tropical storm status by Saturday, the system continues to generate powerful swells across the Gulf.
Coastal Impact Warnings
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) warns of life-threatening surf conditions and dangerous rip currents along Gulf Coast beaches. Specific regional impacts include:
- Corpus Christi: Waves potentially reaching 10 feet over the weekend
- Alabama and Florida Panhandle: Expected breakers up to seven feet
- Widespread high-risk conditions from Texas to western Florida
Cuban Aftermath
The hurricane’s impact on Cuba has been severe:
- Sustained winds of 115 mph caused extensive damage
- Island-wide power outages affected millions
- Widespread flooding from torrential rainfall
- Tens of thousands evacuated
- Some regions expecting up to 12 inches of total rainfall
- Ongoing power restoration efforts, particularly in Havana
Forecast and Tracking
While Rafael is the first 2024 Gulf hurricane not expected to make U.S. landfall, meteorologists are closely monitoring its westward trajectory. The storm might execute a loop in the Gulf, influenced by:
- An Atlantic ridge
- A mainland U.S. trough
- Similar to Hurricane Elena’s 1985 path, though different landfall expectations
Safety Measures
Authorities strongly advise:
- Avoiding water activities during the Veterans Day weekend
- Following local weather advisories
- Remaining vigilant about rip current dangers
- Staying informed about weather updates
The NHC continues to track Rafael’s development, employing various forecast models to predict its path. While direct U.S. landfall appears unlikely, coastal communities should remain prepared for dangerous marine conditions through the weekend.
