Janice R. Andrews
Tropical Cyclone Eighteen, now dubbed Rafael, is intensifying in the Caribbean, prompting the National Hurricane Center (NHC) to issue hurricane alerts. The system, currently exhibiting 35 mph winds and northward movement at nine mph, is expected to evolve into a Category 1 hurricane, threatening both Caribbean nations and the U.S. Gulf Coast.
The Cayman Islands now face a hurricane warning, while Jamaica operates under tropical storm alerts and Cuba maintains hurricane watch status. These regions should prepare for substantial rainfall ranging from 3-6 inches, with some locations potentially receiving up to 9 inches, creating risks for flash floods and landslides.
As Rafael tracks northward, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas are preparing for weekend impacts, while Florida’s southwest region could experience deteriorating conditions by Thursday. The Florida Keys remain under close observation as tropical storm watches may be necessary.
This November hurricane activity is particularly notable, as explained by AccuWeather’s hurricane expert Alex DaSilva. Only three hurricanes have made U.S. landfall during November since 1900, all in Florida. A Gulf Coast landfall would mark a historical first for this time of year. The season’s accumulated damage has been substantial, approaching $500 billion in total economic impact.
While the storm’s future intensity remains uncertain due to Gulf of Mexico wind conditions, authorities urge residents to maintain vigilance. The NHC continues monitoring both Rafael and a separate Atlantic system moving toward Portugal, emphasizing the need for preparedness as this unusually active hurricane season continues through its final month.
Emergency preparations are underway across potentially affected regions, with officials implementing flood management strategies and advising residents to prepare emergency supplies. As the season’s 17th named storm, Rafael underscores the extended threat of tropical systems even as the official November 30 season end approaches.
Coastal communities should stay tuned to official updates and prepare for potential flooding, wind damage, and power disruptions as Rafael advances toward U.S. waters.
