Janice R. Andrews
The prospect of Donald Trump winning the 2024 U.S. presidency could reshape the international landscape, with major implications for several world powers. Key nations are carefully assessing how their strategic interests might shift under a second Trump administration.
A Trump return could intensify the U.S.-China rivalry. His previous presidency saw aggressive trade policies and technology restrictions targeting Beijing, including substantial tariffs that rattled Chinese markets. A second term might bring enhanced scrutiny of Chinese investments and renewed trade barriers, potentially straining the relationship further.
For Moscow, Trump’s potential victory presents a mixed outlook. While his previous challenges to NATO spending aligned with Russian interests, the ongoing Ukraine situation adds uncertainty. Though Trump advocates for negotiations, his unpredictable approach could complicate U.S.-Russia relations.
Tehran faces the possibility of renewed pressure under Trump, who previously abandoned the nuclear agreement and imposed harsh economic measures. A second Trump term might mean continued isolation and additional sanctions, further straining U.S.-Iran relations.
Regarding Pyongyang, Trump’s unprecedented diplomatic engagement with Kim Jong-un could resume, though previous talks yielded limited results on nuclear disarmament. A second Trump presidency might revive these direct negotiations, but their effectiveness remains uncertain.
Ultimately, these nations are preparing for significant policy shifts should Trump return to office, recognizing that American foreign policy could take sharp turns affecting their respective positions in the global order.
