Janice R. Andrews
Recent polling data from FiveThirtyEight shows a notable change in Pennsylvania’s political landscape. For the first time since July, the former president has pulled ahead of the current vice president in this key swing state. The aggregated polls indicate the former president now commands 47.9% of voter support, while the vice president trails slightly at 47.5%.
This close margin underscores the competitive nature of the race in crucial battleground states. The former president is also showing strength in Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina, while the vice president maintains narrow advantages in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Nevada.
On a national scale, the vice president still holds a slim overall lead of 1.8 percentage points. However, betting markets seem to favor the former president, giving him a 58.3% probability of victory in the upcoming election. As the campaign intensifies, both candidates are expected to concentrate their efforts on these pivotal swing states.
